Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.906593 1.094732 1.292965 1.515778 1.757725 2.011136 2.295292
2025-02-09 0.699298 0.971225 1.277176 1.639761 2.051405 2.498788 3.016668
2025-02-16 0.569557 0.880621 1.247703 1.698363 2.224365 2.808592 3.497066
2025-02-23 0.453254 0.785727 1.197572 1.720379 2.345974 3.053987 3.900901
2025-03-02 0.328895 0.657495 1.088527 1.656088 2.353041 3.156770 4.132253
2025-03-09 0.227923 0.541379 0.980087 1.580191 2.336155 3.223626 4.315301
2025-03-16 0.161485 0.461088 0.908246 1.541482 2.356964 3.328664 4.537086
2025-03-23 0.126980 0.424466 0.891833 1.570892 2.459181 3.528578 4.868394
2025-03-30 0.093200 0.380121 0.858848 1.574211 2.525555 3.683067 5.144231
2025-04-06 0.061054 0.327676 0.807345 1.547682 2.550382 3.784427 5.354704
2025-04-13 0.050080 0.318242 0.821531 1.611587 2.691566 4.028300 5.735932
2025-04-20 0.041542 0.311916 0.839532 1.680193 2.838528 4.279201 6.125715
2025-04-27 0.036306 0.315130 0.876789 1.782164 3.037324 4.604180 6.617461
2025-05-04 0.033375 0.324705 0.925614 1.902440 3.262576 4.964909 7.156134
2025-05-11 0.025668 0.315170 0.939760 1.970801 3.417738 5.237159 7.586449
2025-05-18 0.015736 0.289986 0.923666 1.993014 3.510296 5.430479 7.920556
2025-05-25 0.004423 0.236743 0.849513 1.923913 3.476636 5.462497 8.055735
2025-06-01 0.000083 0.185804 0.770394 1.841412 3.420583 5.463028 8.149660
2025-06-08 NaN 0.152431 0.719984 1.799423 3.417061 5.527881 8.320273
2025-06-15 NaN 0.141155 0.716113 1.831354 3.516485 5.725138 8.655182
2025-06-22 NaN 0.124036 0.695834 1.834963 3.575039 5.868919 8.923135
2025-06-29 NaN 0.101514 0.657531 1.806146 3.585916 5.949647 9.111532
2025-07-06 NaN 0.101305 0.677053 1.875529 3.737985 6.215262 9.532136